This Football Business
What is it to be a businessman? Controlling the bottom line. That constraint is removed when billionaires take on their football incarnation, and the game suffers.
If football really is a business, one-sixth of Liverpool FC has been sold. In October last year, New England Sports Ventures (NESV) bought the club in a deal that valued it at £300m. On the last day of the January transfer window, Liverpool sold Fernando Torres to Chelsea for £50m. The potential for comment here is almost endless. What of Liverpool’s aspirations to compete with and ultimately surpass Chelsea? What of Kenny Dalglish, Liverpool’s greatest striker, whose first significant move in his second coming as manager was to sell the man once touted as a possible rival to his crown? What of the idea that the Liverpool of 2011 is not the same Liverpool that rejected Chelsea’s huge-money offer for their other world class player of this decade, Steven Gerrard, in 2005? Perhaps claims to footballing pedigree and past glories can no longer ward off the cheque books of the world's wealthiest.
Football's subprime
These issues, the business of football, are overshadowed by the
business that football has become. The question that has been asked for as long as the sport has been professional - most vehemently since the advent of Sky and the Premier League – is, can football thrive, or even survive, as a business? It has many of the hallmarks of an economy: trade, competition, finance. It has a bottom line.
But football’s problem is that a fundamental plank of economics may be missing: the profit motive. Whilst it has a bottom line, it is not the be-all-and-end-all. Trophies, purists will tell you, are priceless. The ‘revenue’ they yield in prize money is irrelevant, it is the accumulation of achievement, of prestige, an eventual rise to some previously unreached level that confers value upon them. This is not just true of trophies. What price a win in a local derby? What price a non-league cup run? The purist may be dismayed to hear talk of how much Crawley Town will earn for their journey to Old Trafford in the FA Cup fifth round, but this is symptomatic of the game today. Is it true enough, though, to say that the billionaire owners proliferating in English football are here for the prize money?
It is possible to accept that the basic aim of football cannot be measured in financial terms without ruling out its potential to function as an economy. This would be fine if the two sides remained detached, in such a way that the business side was conducted with an eye only for the bottom line, and the football side concerned itself only with silverware. This would make owners’ interest in success a function of prize money. The football side’s money would be one part of a wider budget, properly managed by businessmen that have not left their business sense behind in their previous lives.
"Sadly it has taken the economic perspective to bring about the change that the purists have been calling for for years. "
Complications arise when the lust for success distorts the economic incentives facing those in the boardroom. Chelsea – a scapegoat, but equally a blatant offender – makes no pretence of attempting to achieve fiscal balance. Torres has shown us this much: the sums simply do not add up. Premier League winners receive £16m in prize money. Each place receives £800000 less than the place above, so a fourth place finish is worth £13.6m. The 25% of TV revenue assigned on merit adds a similar amount per place. If Chelsea win the league for the next five years, and we assume that Chelsea would not have finished lower than fourth in his absence, the Spaniard will have added at most £24m to Chelsea’s coffers. And that is in an almost incredible scenario (no one has won more than three Premier League titles in a row; Torres himself has not won a single league title in his 10 years as a professional). In the same five-year period, he will cost Chelsea a reported £35m in wages. His present value – the expected return on his performance for all time – is simply nowhere near £50m. It is closer to minus £50m. And that is before risk is considered: Torres is injury prone and appears to be suffering a recent loss of form. If football was an undistorted economy then, this transfer simply would not have happened.
The sums (Source:The Economist)
Investment is a crucial part of all economies, but elsewhere it remains tied to the profit motive. Projects that cost more than their present value are not invested in. Transfers that flaunt this economic rule happen for two related reasons: because there is no division between the finance and the football, and because the investment is not put in to be regained. Oligarchs have made their profits; now they want trophies. The two exist in different contexts: one pays for the other, with football accruing the losses.
Football is not operating like any other economy for a very simple reason: its costs are not linked to its revenues. Torres was paid for by Russian oil, not by the Stamford Bridge faithful, or even by Rupert Murdoch, the man behind the Sky revolution. Non-football money is not a panacea, as was shown by the financial results released on the very same day as the Torres signing. Chelsea made a loss of £70.9m in the year to June 2010. Having a billionaire in your corner does not keep you in the black; it means that you can afford to go in to the red.
The problem, in the eyes of the economist - as Liverpool themselves discovered in the years of wrangling that preceded the NESV takeover, and mortgage lenders the world over discovered in 2008 - is that unbacked debt is not easy to sell, and eventually becomes too expensive to service, leading to default and closure. When Mr Abramovich has had enough, what then? For Lehmann, read Chelsea. The problem, in the eyes of the purist, is that the basis of success becomes exogenous to the game. Money made elsewhere is introduced into the game and acts to distort its competitive outcomes. UEFA has accepted that there is a problem and has ruled that clubs must break even over a rolling three year period from 2012. Sadly it has taken the economic perspective to bring about the change that the purists have been calling for for years.
Business will remain a part of football for as long as it generates billions of pounds every year. This is not necessarily a bad thing. It is widely agreed that the financially motivated Premier League is the best league in the world. Eradicating the exogenous business elements and thereby re-equating costs and revenues, however, means that there is the prospect of success becoming endogenous once again. That at least should make the purist smile.
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Akhil Bakhda
Tue 15 Feb 2011 12:16am
Whilst I generally agree that some recent transfer fees are mind boggling and make no apparent sense financially, you are missing out on things like merchandising, sponsorship, royalties from image rights and advertising etc. that big profile players bring to their new club. But yes, I do agree with you, recouping the money, let alone making a return on the transfer fee and contract, is hard to fathom. But it is possible to spend big and recoup - Zinedine Zidane and David Beckham both allegedly made a significant return for Real Madrid's massive investment (approx £70 million in transfer fees combined, not mentioning their contracts) in shirt sales and other merchandising alone. And it is important to note that many clubs such as Arsenal and Manchester United have their debts (more in Arsenal's case) secured as club assets, and have tapped into the bonds market, not borrowing directly from banks. This makes for more favourable and stable interest rates over longer periods of time. In addition, though revenue and turnover numbers are always misleading, operating profits aren't - for the big clubs like Man United and Arsenal, the 2009 reading is good:
United Turnover: £278.5m
United Operating profit: £91.3m
United Net debt: £716.6m
United Interest payment: £68.5m
Arsenal
Turnover: £312.3m
Operating profit: £58.8m
Net debt: £297.0m
Interest payment: £16.6m
The Arsenal reading looks nicer and it is, but United's profits are massive - Madrid's are even more massive and so too Barcelona's. For Aresnal to gain financial security in five years time, all they need to do is fill the Emirates stadium every game - they do this easily at the moment and will almost certainly do this for the foreseeable future. United is less clear - talks of the Glazers needing to find an investor who is willing to plough £100million in cash to ease straight bank debt is probably not good news. Chelsea are in a bad way - they have huge debts and are making a loss - the term operating profit is non-existent for them.
Chelsea
Turnover: £190.0m
Operating profit: –£11.4m
Net debt: £511.6m
Interest payment: £0.7m
That was the 2009 reading - they made, as you pointed out, a much bigger loss in 2010 (funnily enough the morning they announced their £70 million debt, in the afternoon they went and soent another £75 million on Torres and Luiz - so much for the promises they made to Platini and Uefa).
But Man City and Chelsea do claim to have financially responsible owners (these claims presumably being made by the owners themselves!). All £305 million of debt City has accrued has been converted into equity by Sheikh Mansour for him to pay off. A similar story with Abramovich - Chelsea even claimed this year to be 'virtually debt-free'. Who knows the truth? It sounds fishy to me - but considering the sheer wealth of both City and Chelsea's owners, it wouldn't surprise me if this was true - a few hundred million here or there, the clubs are mere playthings for these guys. At least in the short term anyway.
But the bottom line is, I agree with you, certianly for most clubs in the premier league. In fact, this fact will show you exactly why I agree with you:
Only 6 out of 20 clubs in the Premier League showing an operating profit in their most recent accounts. So it isn't just the big spenders who have to worry - it's basically everyone else, even those small clubs that are frugal in the transfer market. In fact, as Portsmouth sadly found out, when you are a small club who had a big owner who spent big, finding a buyer or investor to pay off debt is a massive problem. It's the small clubs that aren't making profits that are in the greater danger than the bigger clubs making a more attractive profit margin.
Resource: http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league/the-debt-league-how-much-do-clubs-owe-1912244.html